• How often information lets people go

  1.68%1,812 days

  A month, as a share of everyone employed. The average wait for one person is 1,812 days (US Bureau of Labor Statistics). Source

• AI already does this much of your job

  9%1.51× sooner

  Microsoft scores chief executives 0.16 out of 1 for how much of the job people already hand to AI, and Anthropic sees Claude doing 3% of its tasks. The most exposed job we score is 55%. Source

• Openings for your kind of job

  +5%1.05× later

  US job postings in Management are at 105, where February 2020 was 100 (Indeed Hiring Lab, November 2026). Source

• Your employer

  -1.5% a year1.15× sooner

  Microsoft's headcount is down 1.5% on a year ago (LinkedIn). Source

• Layoffs at Microsoft

  3 rounds2.40× sooner

  Microsoft offered buyouts for 27% of staff 20 days ago, its 3rd round in a year (Microsoft offers 60,000 employees voluntary buyouts | AP News). Source

• Middle management

  1 in 5 firms1.20× sooner

  Gartner predicted that through 2026 one in five organisations would use AI to flatten their structure and remove more than half of their middle managers. Source

• Time with this employer

  1.4 years1.30× sooner

  Of 7.4 million people displaced from a job in 2023 to 2025, 4.1 million had held it under three years (US Bureau of Labor Statistics), and 65% of HR teams say they cut the newest first (BambooHR). Source

Multiplied together, then stretched so the extremes are extremes. The whole method.