• How often health care and social assistance lets people go

  0.68%4,476 days

  A month, as a share of everyone employed. The average wait for one person is 4,476 days (US Bureau of Labor Statistics). Source

• AI already does this much of your job

  9%1.51× sooner

  Microsoft scores chief executives 0.16 out of 1 for how much of the job people already hand to AI, and Anthropic sees Claude doing 3% of its tasks. The most exposed job we score is 55%. Source

• Openings for your kind of job

  +5%1.05× later

  US job postings in Management are at 105, where February 2020 was 100 (Indeed Hiring Lab, November 2026). Source

• Your employer

  +5% a year1.12× later

  Gates Foundation's headcount is up 5% on a year ago (LinkedIn). Source

• Layoffs at Gates Foundation

  in January 20261.25× sooner

  Gates Foundation laid off 500 people in January 2026 (Committing $9B Annual Payout; Strengthening Stewardship of Funds). Source

Multiplied together, then stretched so the extremes are extremes. The whole method.