• How often professional and business services lets people go

  2.06%1,478 days

  A month, as a share of everyone employed. The average wait for one person is 1,478 days (US Bureau of Labor Statistics). Source

• AI already does this much of your job

  9%1.51× sooner

  Microsoft scores chief executives 0.16 out of 1 for how much of the job people already hand to AI, and Anthropic sees Claude doing 3% of its tasks. The most exposed job we score is 55%. Source

• Openings for your kind of job

  +5%1.05× later

  US job postings in Management are at 105, where February 2020 was 100 (Indeed Hiring Lab, November 2026). Source

• Your company

  -40% a year4.20× sooner

  Next Play Ventures's headcount is down 40% on a year ago (LinkedIn). About one in five new businesses closes within a year and half within five (US Bureau of Labor Statistics). Source

Multiplied together, then stretched so the extremes are extremes. The whole method.